This year of market buoyancy is making investors uneasy. It isn’t only because prices are rising—it’s because they often rise faster than conviction. When central bankers express discomfort, when seasoned macro thinkers warn of bubble dynamics, and when geopolitics increasingly weaponizes currencies and capital flows, investors feel the irresistible urge to respond. But as Buffett reminds […]
Category: Markets
Staying the Course Amidst Noise The financial world is entering yet another phase of turbulence. The headlines of this quarter revolve around three major forces: uncertainty around the US dollar, the escalation of new global conflicts, and the relentless march of artificial intelligence. Each has the potential to unsettle markets, but none should deter investors […]
Contrarian investing, valuation
For our last yearly review, we look at insightful perspectives from three reference investors: a provocative contrarian, a global macro and a value investor: Searching for Value Amidst High Asset Prices The provocative contrarian Marc Faber, in his Gloom Boom Doom report, raises critical questions about the sustainability of current asset valuations. He highlights a growing dichotomy […]
Market sentiment Looking ahead , the global economic outlook points to slower growth. While consumer spending is expected to remain positive, albeit at a slower pace than last year, some benchmark investors are showing signs of caution. For example, Berkshire Hathaway’s cash position will probably reach $200 billion by the end of the current quarter, […]
At the start of this year, we review W. Buffett’s latest letter to his shareholders, the market situation in the USA, China and other geographies, and conclude with a few practical considerations. W. Buffett’s principles In his letter to Berkshire investors for the 2023 financial year, W. Buffett recalls his main investment principles following the […]
For this final update of the year, we take a look at the risks from a global macro perspective, a more detailed evaluation at the currency and equity situation in Asia, and finish with some thoughts on possible entry points for self-made and serious equity investors. Risks and caution in 2024 Will 2024 offer a […]
The best investment results come from exploiting the differences between the way things are supposed to work and the way they currently do.
For investors in global macro equities, the reopening of China calls for an overweighting of Asian equities despite expected volatilities.
The dilemma central banks between financial instability and high inflation continues.
Guide Finances 